Asteroid 2024 YR4, also known as a "city-killer" asteroid, has a 2.3% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. However, new estimates suggest it may have an even smaller chance of hitting the moon instead.
The asteroid is currently at level three on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, which is a system used to determine how big a threat an asteroid or comet is to planet Earth. Level 3 is defined as a "close encounter meriting attention by astronomers", because it has a 1% or greater chance of collision capable of localized destruction.
The asteroid is estimated to be between 40 and 90 meters wide, which is large enough to cause significant damage if it were to hit Earth. However, the chances of it hitting Earth are still relatively low.
Scientists are continuing to track the asteroid and refine their estimates of its trajectory and potential impact.
The asteroid 2024 YR4, dubbed a "city-killer" due to its potential size and destructive power, has a 2.3% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. However, new estimates suggest it has an even smaller chance of hitting the moon instead.
Here are some key points about this asteroid:
Size and Potential Impact: While the exact size is not yet confirmed, it is estimated to be large enough to cause significant damage if it were to hit Earth.
Probability of Impact: The current probability of hitting Earth is 2.3% in 2032.
Possible Moon Impact: Scientists have calculated a possibility, though smaller, that the asteroid might hit the moon instead.
Continued Monitoring: Scientists are closely monitoring the asteroid's trajectory to refine their predictions and better understand the potential risks.
It's important to note that the probability of an Earth impact is still relatively low, but the potential consequences warrant continued observation and research.